Showing posts with label statistics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label statistics. Show all posts

Sunday, 2 November 2008

The sexual health of Great Britain

This week the Office for National Statistics released the results of their 2007/08 contraception and sexual health survey, which was undertaken as part of the National Statistics Omnibus Survey.

Over four months, 1,164 women aged 16-49 and 1,543 men aged 16-69 completed a questionnaire on contraception use, sexual health, and knowledge of sexually transmitted infections (STIs). The survey found that the majority of Brits are monogamous. Men still claim to have had more sexual partners than women but at least are mostly using condoms while they're playing the field. Women, on the other hand, prefer the pill to any other form of contraception. We're not too hot on emergency contraception but know our STIs better than we used to, gleaning most of our info from the TV.

As many as 75% of men and 78% of women reported having had only one sexual partner in the previous year. Within all age groups, a higher proportion of men than women reported multiple sexual partners and more women than men reported having had just one partner.

The pill was the most popular form of contraception, used by 28% of women employing such measures, and the condom was the second most popular method (24%). In total, 43% men and 50% of women had used a condom in the past year, with those who had had more than one sexual partner more likely to have used a condom than those who had only had one partner. More specifically, 80% of men and 82% of women who had multiple partners had used a condom in the past year.

Almost all women (91%) had heard of the morning after pill, but awareness of the emergency intrauterine device (IUD) had dropped from 49% in 2000/01 to 37% in 2007/08. Less than half (49%) of the women who had heard of emergency contraception knew that the morning after pill is effective up to 72 hours after intercourse, while less than 10% were aware that the emergency IUD was effective if inserted up to five days after sex. Only 6% thought that the morning after pill protected against pregnancy until the next period and less than 1% believed that it protected against sexually transmitted infections.

Nearly all respondents correctly identified that chlamydia is an STI (85% of men and 93% of women), far more than in 2000/01 (35% and 65%, respectively), and nearly all men and women knew that gonorrhoea is an STI (92% and 91%, respectively).

Alarmingly, half of all respondents reported making no changes to their behaviour as a result of what they had heard about HIV/AIDS and other STIs, but thankfully more than a third of men and women said they had increased their use of condoms.

Most respondents got their information on STIs from television programmes (31%), followed by TV adverts (22%), and newspapers, magazines or books (20%). On the other hand, the internet was rarely used as a source of information about STIs, even by young people (3% of those aged 16-24).

Wednesday, 27 August 2008

Randomized control freakery

Nature Clinical Practice Cardiovascular Medicine has recently published an interesting review article on clinical trial design - 'From randomized trials to registry studies: translating data into clinical information'.

This isn't a guide on how to read a clinical paper - you should have a look at Prof Trisha Greenhalgh's book 'How to read a paper' or the extracts published in the BMJ way back in 1997 in you need tips on that front. Rather, the NCP Cardiovascular Medicine review examines different study designs, and interestingly puts forward a case for observational trials, as compared with randomized controlled trials.

Randomization - in which patients are allocated to treatment or no treatment (or placebo) in an entirely indiscriminate manner, thus distributing both known and unknown confounders between groups - and control or placebo groups - which comprise patients who do not receive the intervention - are the benchmarks of a good clinical study, allowing an investigator to isolate the effect of a treatment from various confounding factors.

However, the NCP review argues:
"The results of observational studies are often dismissed in favor of prospective randomized studies because of the widely recognized biases inherent in observational studies. Yet such studies form the basis of much of the medical knowledge we have today. Accordingly, rather than dismiss information gained from observational studies, it is more appropriate to recognize these biases and their effect on results, and to modify interpretation appropriately. Indeed, from a practical standpoint, all studies sustain some form of bias, either implicitly or explicitly."
In addition, the authors state:
"Strict inclusion and exclusion criteria mean that the results of randomized studies might not be as applicable to general populations as are findings from observational studies, including both clinical registries and retrospective reviews"
The take-home message of the article is that practicing clinicans should analyze the patient population of a trial carefully before applying the findings to a patients of theirs.

This paper also discusses statistical power and the use of surrogate and composite end points, the validity (or not) of post hoc analysis, and the utility of peer review for spotting trial-design pitfalls. But obviously I'm more interested in the iconoclastic view of randomized controlled trials...